Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.341430 0.404595 0.475066 0.559354 0.657260 0.767228 0.899929
2025-02-09 0.255160 0.339104 0.442776 0.579521 0.754357 0.969544 1.253496
2025-02-16 0.197842 0.286557 0.404723 0.572187 0.801691 1.103208 1.526955
2025-02-23 0.155527 0.242433 0.365847 0.551599 0.821245 1.194985 1.747843
2025-03-02 0.123479 0.205665 0.329276 0.525543 0.825258 1.260535 1.933621
2025-03-09 0.109330 0.192833 0.324775 0.544041 0.893524 1.421359 2.268310
2025-03-16 0.090429 0.168796 0.298781 0.524631 0.899870 1.488400 2.466761
2025-03-23 0.080802 0.158610 0.293327 0.536724 0.956019 1.635493 2.800014
2025-03-30 0.072375 0.149044 0.287295 0.546446 1.008262 1.779760 3.139888
2025-04-06 0.063144 0.136378 0.273852 0.541041 1.033205 1.880080 3.414472
2025-04-13 0.055524 0.125543 0.262144 0.536945 1.059252 1.983384 3.701253
2025-04-20 0.051495 0.121346 0.262407 0.555045 1.126953 2.164065 4.135971
2025-04-27 0.051649 0.126367 0.282056 0.614123 1.279501 2.512951 4.905788
2025-05-04 0.048017 0.122517 0.283249 0.636761 1.364876 2.747604 5.489665
2025-05-11 0.042217 0.112665 0.270398 0.628787 1.388678 2.868785 5.872230
2025-05-18 0.036143 0.101021 0.251913 0.606324 1.380231 2.926711 6.138288
2025-05-25 0.030556 0.089505 0.231964 0.577887 1.355770 2.950196 6.337994
2025-06-01 0.028715 0.087361 0.233535 0.598076 1.437255 3.192400 6.989897
2025-06-08 0.024746 0.078713 0.218164 0.576892 1.425387 3.241803 7.254586
2025-06-15 0.023040 0.076074 0.217303 0.590091 1.491848 3.459675 7.881997
2025-06-22 0.021369 0.073224 0.215496 0.600701 1.553258 3.671346 8.511550
2025-06-29 0.019157 0.068309 0.207530 0.594802 1.575079 3.798433 8.969307
2025-07-06 0.017251 0.063967 0.200475 0.590332 1.599750 3.933482 9.453853